Joe Burrow prop bets add a little extra excitement to Clemson vs. LSU in Monday’s College Football Playoff national championship game. FanDuel is offering a variety of Joe Burrow prop bets, so let’s see if we can find some value for the Heisman winner.
Joe Burrow prop bets
Joe Burrow over/under 365.5 passing yards (-112)
The LSU quarterback threw for more than 365 yards six times in 14 games this season. That can be a little misleading though, as LSU was often ahead by a wide margin and ran the ball more late in games. Joe Burrow did throw for more than 365 yards three times in six games against AP Top 25 teams, so it’s not as though he was doing this against a bunch of directional programs.
Clemson did not allow a single quarterback to throw for more than 365 yards this season. In fact, until Justin Fields threw for 320 yards in the College Football Playoff semifinal, not a single opposing quarterback had a 300-yard game against the Tigers. However, the level of quarterbacks Clemson faced this season was nowhere near Burrow’s caliber. Even Fields, who happens to be very good, was playing on a bad knee when he passed for 320 yards.
I think LSU is going to score a lot of points Monday, largely via Burrow’s arm.
The first of my Joe Burrow prop bets will be Burrow over 365.5 passing yards (-112).
Joe Burrow over/under 28.5 rushing yards (-112)
Like his passing total, Burrow surpassed 28 rushing yards in six of 14 games this season.
Burrow did so in four of the six games LSU played against AP Top 25 teams, so that could be a hint at what sort of game plan head coach Ed Orgeron could have in mind Monday.
Still, this is one of those prop bets that seems random as much as anything. There also doesn’t seem to be much value in either direction.
This is one of the Joe Burrow prop bets I would likely avoid.
Any time touchdown scorer Joe Burrow (+140)
Burrow rushed for four touchdowns this season, including one last game against Oklahoma. Again, this is such a random prop bet, but at least the odds are favorable here. If LSU is going to score a lot of points, it’s entirely possible Burrow runs one in.
Burrow as an any time touchdown scorer (+140) is worth a small wager.
First touchdown scorer Joe Burrow (+1250)
If Burrow scoring a touchdown is something you believe in, it can’t hurt to make an additional small wager on him as the first player to score a touchdown Monday.
This isn’t one I’d recommend spending a lot of money on, but it’s not out of the question. Just too random for my liking.
Joe Burrow to score 2+ receiving/rushing touchdowns (+950)
Burrow did not have a single game this season where he recorded two or more touchdowns. Pass.
Joe Burrow to pass for 400+ yards and LSU to win (+200)
The next three wagers rely primarily on if you think LSU is going to win this game outright. If you do, keep reading.
Burrow threw for more than 400 yards three times this season. In two other games, he came awfully close, throwing for 398 yards vs. Vanderbilt and 393 yards at Alabama.
With this game expected to be played at a fast pace with lots of points scored, that means more possessions and opportunities for Burrow to rack up some passing yards.
Since I think LSU will win outright, I’d be willing to make this one of my Joe Burrow prop bets Monday.
Joe Burrow to pass for 4+ touchdowns and LSU to win (+110)
There’s no such thing as a sure thing in gambling, but Burrow did throw for 4+ touchdowns eight times in 14 games. I probably like this prop bet more than Joe Burrow throwing for 400+ passing yards in an LSU win.
Joe Burrow to rush for a touchdown and LSU to win (+220)
This prop bet ties into the one mentioned earlier. If you think Burrow will score a touchdown and LSU will win, the odds are certainly favorable. It’s just a little too random for my liking.