The biggest bat traded this winter, outfielder Mookie Betts is in a new league and on a new coast. Let’s take a look at some interesting Mookie Betts prop bets to see if we can take advantage of his new situation.
All Mookie Betts prop bets are courtesy of PointsBet.
Mookie Betts prop bets: over/under .2925 batting average (-110)
When a veteran player switches leagues, the question often becomes how quickly can he adjust to all the new pitchers he’s going to see?
With his elite bat speed, Betts should adjust quickly. Last season, he really turned it on in the second half with a .336/.398/.615 line with 16 home runs.
In fact, Betts has always been a great second-half player with a career line of .310/.379/.518 in 359 career second-half games.
Betts is a career .301 hitter and has hit over .292 in three of his last four seasons. Yes, he’s leaving hitter-friendly Fenway Park, but he will get nine games a year in hitter-friendly parks like Chase Field in Arizona and Coors Field in Colorado.
The rest of the division, the San Diego Padres and the San Francisco Giants, don’t exactly have pitching that should have Betts too concerned.
I expect an MVP-caliber season from Betts, which likely means he’ll hit over .300.
Mookie Betts prediction: Over .2925 batting average (-110)
Mookie Betts prop bets: over (-105)/under (-118) 32.5 home runs
This one is trickier to figure out as Major League Baseball has been toying with the baseballs over the last few years. Last year, some kind of super ball was believed to be brought into the majors and team home run records were destroyed. It seemed like player’s career-highs in home runs were also being broken on a daily basis.
While baseball has denied intentionally messing with the ball, it seems clear that it got out of hand last year. It wouldn’t surprise anyone if the baseballs were once again tweaked to reduce some of these long balls slightly.
Without knowing which baseballs MLB will use, let’s look at Betts’ career stats. Betts has never exceeded 32 home runs in his six MLB seasons.
Betts is also now going from Fenway Park to Dodger Stadium, which is more of a neutral park for hitters.
Over his last five big league seasons, Betts has averaged 27 home runs, which seems to be a reasonable number. Let’s go with the under here on our Mookie Betts prop bets.
Mookie Betts prediction: Under 32.5 home runs (-118)
Mookie Betts prop bets: over (-105)/under (-125) 90.5 RBI
This one can’t really be answered now. It’s based on where Betts will bat in manager Dave Roberts’ lineup.
If Betts is put in the leadoff spot, like he was in Boston last season, I would certainly take the under on 90.5 RBI. Betts started 148 games last season and batted either first or second in all of them, driving in 80 RBI.
The last time Betts drove in over 90 runs was in 2017, when he got 58 starts as either the No. 3 hitter or the No. 4 hitter.
It’s that simple, if Betts stays healthy and bats No. 3 or No. 4, he will reach 90+ RBI. If not, let’s take the under.
It’s important here to wait this one out a little until we get a glimpse of what Dave Roberts’ 2020 lineup could look like.
Last season, outfielder Joc Pederson led off in most of the Dodgers games (103) but it seems logical that Betts could take that role in 2020. For the moment, let’s guess that Betts opens the season as the leadoff man and take under 90.5 RBI.
Mookie Betts prediction: Under 90.5 RBI (-125)