NHL predictions and prop bets: Capitals vs. Flyers odds and picks

NHL predictions - Capitals vs. Flyers
You can’t talk NHL predictions and prop bets Wednesday for Capitals vs. Flyers without mentioning Alex Ovechkin. (Photo credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports)

There are only three games on Wednesday’s NHL schedule, but one of them in particular caught my eye for some NHL predictions and prop bets: Capitals vs. Flyers.

NHL predictions and prop bets

NHL odds: Washington Capitals (-125) at Philadelphia Flyers (+105), Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET (NBCSN)

The Flyers have been two different teams at home and on the road. In Philadelphia, the Flyers are 13-2-4. Away from the Wells Fargo Center, the Flyers are 9-13-2.

After a six-game road trip which saw them go 1-4-1, the Flyers return home Wednesday to take on the Washington Capitals.

The Capitals, owners of the best record in the NHL, have been successful wherever they play – sporting a 13-4-4 home record and 17-5-1 away mark.

Braden Holtby starts in net Wednesday for the Capitals, although rookie goalie Ilya Samsonov has been the sharper of the two. Samsonov sports a sparkling 2.24 goals against average, compared to Holby’s 2.99 GAA.

Let’s build some NHL predictions around who can put the puck past Holtby.

Goals have been evenly distributed for the Flyers this season, with Travis Konecny and Claude Giroux tied for the team lead with 13 goals and Sean Couturier, Kevin Hayes and James van Riemsdyk all knotted up with 12 goals. Oskar Lindlom is right behind them with 11 goals.

Konecny tends to have long scoring droughts offset scoring goals in bunches. With two goals in his last three games, and eight of his 13 goals coming at home, let’s make the first of our Wednesday NHL predictions Konecny over 0.5 goals (+260).

Giroux scored the Flyers’ only goal when they played the Capitals in November. He has been noticeably absent for the Flyers the last two games, getting just one shot on goal over that span. With a season average of 3.2 shots per game, the expectation is Giroux will be more active Wednesday. Giroux over 3 shots (+108) and Giroux over 0.5 goals (+240) will be the next of our NHL predictions.

Forward Jakub Voracek leads the Flyers in assists, and he has been hot of late, recording seven assists in his last five games. Voracek over 0.5 assists (+128) is a prop bet with some value.

For a longshot, consider a small wager on Matt Niskanen over 0.5 goals (+640). The veteran defenseman spent the last five seasons with the Capitals and recorded three shots on goal the last time these two teams met. You better believe Niskanen wants to score against his old teammates.

Speaking of Niskanen’s former teammates, you can’t talk NHL prop bets without mentioning Alex Ovechkin.

Ovechkin is tied for third in the NHL with 26 goals and leads the league in shots on goal (206). He has recorded 18 of his 26 goals on the road, so you’re getting some value with Ovechkin over 0.5 goals (+124).

Similarly, with an average of 4.7 shots per game, Ovechkin over 4 shots (+104) is a worthy NHL prop bet Wednesday. Ovechkin is very much a volume shooter, so these two bets go hand in hand.

The Flyers held Ovechkin without a point when these two teams met in November, so Ovechkin under 0.5 points (+142) could be of interest if you want to bet against him.

John Carlson leads all defensemen by a wide margin with 41 assists, tied for third overall in the NHL. However, there isn’t a ton of value with Carlson over 0.5 assists (-130). If you want to get creative, Carlson has 14 assists this season on the power play. Carlson over 0.5 power play points (+280) offers much better value if you want to place a small wager on it.

The Capitals are tied for ninth in the NHL with 29 power play goals.

Center Jakub Vrana recently snapped a 10-game goalless streak and has responded with three goals over his last three games. Consider Vrana over 0.5 goals (+220).

Given their success at home, the last of my NHL predictions for this game is Flyers +105 on the moneyline.

Capitals vs. Flyers prediction: Flyers +105

NHL odds courtesy of FanDuel

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