Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions for UFC Fight Night 170 in Brazil

Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions
Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions for UFC Fight Night 170 odds offer something to do on a limited sports betting menu Saturday night. (Photo credit: Jason Da Silva-USA TODAY Sportsh)

Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions are one of the few things remaining on the American sports betting menu Saturday night. And the UFC Fight Night 170 odds for this lightweight fight indicate it should be relatively close.

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ESPN has decided to broadcast the spectator-free UFC fight after it was originally slated to air on ESPN+. Main card coverage begins at 6 p.m. ET. The UFC Fight Night main event is expected to go off around 8:15 p.m. ET.

When making your own Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions, it’s important to note Lee missed weight by 2.5 pounds at Friday’s weigh-in. The weight limit for this UFC lightweight fight was set at 156 pounds. Lee weighed in at 158.5 pounds and now must forfeit 20 percent of his purse.

UFC odds – Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira moneyline

FighterUFC Fight Night 170 odds
Kevin Lee (11-5 UFC record)
Charles Oliveira (16-8 UFC record)

I’m never a big fan of betting on fighters who miss weight as it could be an indication that they haven’t taken training camp seriously. It's also taxing having to shed the extra weight.

Lee was -145 earlier in the week, so maybe I’m in the minority here.

For my Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions, I’ll be going with Oliveira (+132).

A jiu jitsu specialist, Oliveira has won his last six fights, four of which have come by chokehold submission. While no fans will be allowed in the building, Oliveira stills owns the familiarity factor when fighting in his native Brazil. 

With three losses in his last five fights, Lee has lost two of those by chokehold. This is the second time Lee has missed weight and it does concern me that he couldn’t make weight given his recent track record.

Oliveira is +230 to win by submission. 

Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira prop bets

Method of victoryUFC odds
Kevin Lee by KO/TKO
Lee – Points
Lee – Submission
Draw
Charles Oliveira by KO/TKO
Oliveira – Points
Oliveira – Submission

Either way, the expectation is this fight will end via submission. Oliveira has won 18 times by submission in 28 career wins and holds the UFC record with 13 submission wins. Lee owns eight of his 18 career wins by submission. 

The win by submission bet is +130 under the How the fight will end wager. 

Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira predictions

  • Charles Oliveira moneyline (+132)
  • Oliveira by submission (+230)
  • Fight to end via submission (+130)

About UFC Fight Night 170

UFC Fight Night 170 will be held Saturday, March 14, with ESPN main card coverage beginning at 6 p.m. ET. No fans will be allowed inside Ginásio Nilson Nelson Gymnasium in Brasília, Brazil.

Risk-free bet up to $500
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